Short-term effects of ambient particulate matter (PM1, PM2.5 and PM10) on influenza-like illness in Guangzhou, China.

BACKGROUND: Particulate matter (PM) has been linked to respiratory infections in a growing body of evidence. Studies on the relationship between ILI (influenza-like illness) and PM1 (particulate matter with aerodynamic diameter ≤1 µm) are, however, scarce. The purpose of this study was to investigate the effects of PM on ILI in Guangzhou, China. METHODS: Daily ILI cases, air pollution records (PM1, PM2.5, PM10 and gaseous pollutants), and metrological data between 2014 and 2019 were gathered from Guangzhou, China. To estimate the risk of ILI linked with exposure to PM pollutants, a quasi-Poisson regression was used. Additionally, subgroup analyses stratified by gender, age and season were carried out. RESULTS: For each 10 µg/m3 increase of PM1 and PM2.5 over the past two days (lag01), and PM10 over the past three days (lag02), the relative risks (RR) of ILI were 1.079 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.050, 1.109), 1.044 (95% CI: 1.027, 1.062) and 1.046 (95% CI: 1.032, 1.059), respectively. The estimated risks for men and women were substantially similar. The effects of PM pollutants between male and female were basically equivalent. People aged 15-24 years old were more susceptive to PM pollutants. CONCLUSIONS: It implies that PM1, PM2.5 and PM10 are all risk factors for ILI, the health impacts of PM pollutants vary by particle size. Reducing the concentration of PM1 needs to be considered when generating a strategy to prevent ILI.

Effects of different levels of non-pharmaceutical interventions on hand, foot and mouth disease in Guangzhou, China.

BACKGROUND: Non-pharmaceutical interventions (NPIs) against coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) may have suppressed the transmission of other infectious diseases. This study aimed to evaluate the impact of different degrees of NPIs during the COVID-19 pandemic on hand, foot and mouth disease (HFMD) in Guangzhou, China. METHODS: Weekly reported HFMD cases and pathogens information during 2015-2021 in Guangzhou were collected from the China National Notifiable Disease Reporting System. The observed number of HFMD cases in 2020 and 2021 was compared to the average level in the same period during 2015-2019. Then, an interrupted time-series segmented regression analysis was applied to estimate the impact of NPIs on HFMD, such as social distancing, suspension of schools, community management and mask wearing. The effects across different subgroups stratified by gender, children groups and enterovirus subtype of HFMD were also examined. RESULTS: A total of 13,224 and 36,353 HFMD cases were reported in 2020 and 2021, which decreased by 80.80% and 15.06% respectively compared with the average number of cases in the same period during 2015-2019. A significant drop in the number of HFMD cases during time when strict NPIs were applied (relative change: 69.07% [95% confidence interval (CI): 68.84%-69.30%]). The HFMD incidence rebounded to historical levels in 2021 as the lockdown eased. The slightest reduction of HFMD cases was found among children at kindergartens or childcare centres among the three children groups (children at kindergartens or childcare centres: 55.50% [95% CI: 54.96%-56.03%]; children living at home: 72.64% [95% CI: 72.38%-72.89%]; others: 74.06% [95% CI: 73.19%-74.91%]). CONCLUSIONS: The strong NPIs during the COVID-19 epidemic may have a significant beneficial effect on mitigating HFMD. However, the incidence of HFMD rebounded as the NPIs became less stringent. Authorities should consider applying these NPIs during HFMD outbreaks and strengthening personal hygiene in routine prevention.

Contact tracing period and epidemiological characteristics of an outbreak of the SARS-CoV-2 Delta variant in Guangzhou.

OBJECTIVES: An outbreak of the SARS-CoV-2 Delta variant occurred in Guangzhou in 2021. This study aimed to identify the transmission dynamics and epidemiological characteristics of the Delta variant outbreak to formulate an effective prevention strategy. METHODS: A total of 13102 close contacts and 69 index cases were collected. The incubation period, serial interval, and time interval from the exposure of close contacts to the symptom onset of cases were estimated. Transmission risks based on the exposure time and various characteristics were also assessed. RESULTS: The mean time from exposure to symptom onset among non-household presymptomatic transmission was 3.83 ± 2.29 days, the incubation period was 5 days, and the serial interval was 3 days. The secondary attack rate was high within 4 days before onset and 4-10 days after symptom onset. Compared with other contact types, household contact had a higher transmission risk. The transmission risk increased with the number and frequency of contact with index cases. Cycle threshold (Ct) values were associated with lower transmission risk (adjusted odds ratio [OR] 0.93 [95% CI 0.88-0.99] for ORF 1ab gene; adjusted OR 0.91 [95% CI 0.86-0.97] for N gene). CONCLUSION: The contact tracing period may need to be extended to 4 days before symptom onset. The low Ct value of index cases, the high number and frequency of contact with index cases, and household contacts were associated with a higher transmission risk of SARS-CoV-2 Delta.

Clinical and virological impact of single and dual infections with influenza A (H1N1) and SARS-CoV-2 in adult inpatients.

Severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) mimics the influenza A (H1N1) virus in terms of clinical presentation, transmission mechanism, and seasonal coincidence. Comprehensive data for the clinical severity of adult patients co-infected by both H1N1 and SARS-CoV-2, and, particularly, the relationship with PCR cycle threshold (Ct) values are not yet available. All participants in this study were tested for H1N1 and SARS-CoV-2 simultaneously at admission. Demographic, clinical, treatment, and laboratory data were extracted from electronic medical records and compared among adults hospitalized for H1N1 infection, SARS-CoV-2 infection and co-infection with both viruses. Ct values for viral RNA detection were further compared within SARS-CoV-2 and co-infection groups. Score on seven-category ordinal scale of clinical status at day 7 and day 14 were assessed. Among patients with monoinfection, H1N1 infection had higher frequency of onset symptoms but lower incidence of adverse events during hospitalization than SAR-CoV-2 infection (P < 0.05). Co-infection had an increased odds of acute kidney injury, acute heart failure, secondary bacterial infections, multilobar infiltrates and admittance to ICU than monoinfection. Score on seven-category scale at day 7 and day 14 was higher in patients with coinfection than patients with SAR-CoV-2 monoinfection (P<0.05). Co-infected patients had lower initial Ct values (referring to higher viral load) (median 32) than patients with SAR-CoV-2 monoinfection (median 36). Among co-infected patients, low Ct values were significantly and positively correlated with acute kidney injury and ARDS (P = 0.03 and 0.02, respectively). Co-infection by SARS-CoV-2 and H1N1 caused more severe disease than monoinfection by either virus in adult inpatients. Early Ct value could provide clues for the later trajectory of the co-infection. Multiplex molecular diagnostics for both viruses and early assessment of SAR-CoV-2 Ct values are recommended to achieve optimal treatment for improved clinical outcome.